Orenth
Checked through the day · updated 5h ago

S&P 500 ETF (SPY): buy, wait or avoid?

How sure is it?

Found this setup 88 times before. It worked 24 of them.

When it worked it made about 1.5 times what you put at risk. When it did not, it usually lost about 64% of what you put at risk, not all of it, because the trade is closed rather than left to run. To come out even it needed to work 26 of those 88 times, so this has not been shown to make money.

Price $755.72 · daily bars · checked 5h ago

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Which strategies worked on SPY

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Each one back-tested on SPY's own daily prices, after trading costs.

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Fetching data, running 34 strategies, and back-testing each one against this instrument's own history.