Strategy test · trend

Does Trend stack work?

EMA 9/21/50 alignment and slope. Tested on every popular stock and coin, with real trading costs taken off.

The short answer

After costs, it kept money on 22 of the 48 stocks and coins we test.

It gave a signal 17,622 times and worked 4,717 of them (27%). On average each trade lost -0.01R.

Instrument	Kept a trade	Hit rate	Worked	Signals
CRWD CrowdStrike	+0.15R	35%	120	340
NFLX Netflix	+0.14R	33%	111	338
MSFT Microsoft	+0.13R	30%	103	342
AMC AMC Entertainment	+0.13R	25%	86	340
AVAX Avalanche	+0.09R	28%	147	528
KO Coca-Cola	+0.09R	28%	95	334
META Meta	+0.08R	33%	110	338
JPM JPMorgan Chase	+0.08R	31%	104	339
HOOD Robinhood	+0.08R	32%	108	338
AAPL Apple	+0.07R	32%	107	338
GOOGL Alphabet (Google)	+0.06R	30%	103	343
QQQ Nasdaq 100 ETF	+0.04R	31%	105	341
NVDA NVIDIA	+0.04R	32%	109	338
AVGO Broadcom	+0.03R	30%	102	341
SPY S&P 500 ETF	+0.02R	28%	96	338
VOO Vanguard S&P 500 ETF	+0.02R	29%	97	338
ARM Arm Holdings	+0.02R	30%	56	189
COST Costco	+0.02R	29%	95	331
SNOW Snowflake	+0.02R	26%	89	341
BA Boeing	+0.01R	29%	99	342
WMT Walmart	+0.01R	27%	91	337
ETH Ethereum	0.00R	25%	132	530
RDDT Reddit	0.00R	26%	38	144
AMD AMD	0.00R	29%	98	337
MSTR Strategy (MicroStrategy)	0.00R	27%	93	342
SOFI SoFi	-0.01R	27%	93	341
DIS Disney	-0.01R	26%	88	336
TSLA Tesla	-0.02R	30%	101	338
DOGE Dogecoin	-0.02R	25%	130	528
SOL Solana	-0.04R	25%	132	528
BTC Bitcoin	-0.04R	24%	124	527
BAC Bank of America	-0.04R	28%	95	342
LINK Chainlink	-0.04R	26%	137	527
SMCI Super Micro Computer	-0.04R	29%	97	339
ADA Cardano	-0.04R	23%	122	530
NKE Nike	-0.05R	24%	81	335
AMZN Amazon	-0.05R	24%	83	342
GME GameStop	-0.06R	21%	70	339
SHOP Shopify	-0.07R	25%	86	339
F Ford	-0.08R	24%	81	337
PLTR Palantir	-0.09R	23%	80	342
PYPL PayPal	-0.09R	22%	75	344
RIVN Rivian	-0.09R	22%	73	338
INTC Intel	-0.11R	26%	88	337
XRP XRP	-0.12R	22%	113	525
UBER Uber	-0.13R	24%	80	337
LTC Litecoin	-0.14R	22%	117	523
COIN Coinbase	-0.14R	23%	77	341

How we tested

Up to 5 years of daily prices for each stock and coin.
Every time the strategy leaned up or down, we took a pretend trade that way. Stop 1.5 ATR away, target 2.25 ATR away, closed after 10 trading days if it hit neither. ATR is how much the price usually moves in a day.
Worked means it reached the target before the stop. If both were touched on the same day, we count it as a loss.
Costs come off every trade: 0.02% a round trip for stocks, 0.2% for crypto.
Kept a trade is in R, the amount risked. +0.10R means 10 cents kept for every dollar risked, on average, after costs.
Strategies that fired fewer than 40 times on a stock are left out: that few is luck.

Re-run every day. Past results do not promise future ones. This is software output, not financial advice.

Other trend strategies

all of them →

See what works on the stock you are looking at.

Orenth runs all 34 strategies on any stock or coin, and says so when none of them has an edge.

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Analysis software, not financial advice. Every figure here is measured from historical price data and can stop describing the future at any moment. Day trading loses money for the large majority of retail participants, and this tool's own measurements agree with that. Never risk money you cannot afford to lose.
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Analysing

Fetching data, running 34 strategies, and back-testing each one against this instrument's own history.